Where to invest your money now

Veröffentlicht von: thomasshaw9688
Veröffentlicht am: 03.02.2016 20:41
Rubrik: Finanzen & Versicherungen


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In our examination for best investment new names to trade we went over in excess of 600 charts and what we found undoubtedly shocked us. MMM and PG have both gone through month long consolidations with MMM resting on top of the 200 day MA and PG just under. It would actually help the overall tone of the market if the public would lose focus on AAPL, NFLX, AMZN and GOOG and look to some of the "value" names that haven't moved 40 % YTD.

The political sideshow, sometimes a best investment hint, continues on, we can not believe we have another 11 months to go. The ads for these guys (and girls) are so predictable as to make me inquire why they would even misuse the time and money to produce such drivel.

World events, an identifying best investment factor, have gone from bad to worse and there is plenty to worry about. I will remind you that while the market loves to climb the "wall of worry," Humpty Dumpty does actually fall from time to time and geopolitical events can be a real game changer.

China's weakness at the weeks end was shrugged off by our markets. They were down 5 % and we just went on as if nothing happened. I took that as a good thing. We'll see if we get a continuing move to the upside for our Santa Claus rally.

Bottom-line market analysis is used in determining best investment. Concerning this stocks recovered from the geopolitical debacle last Tuesday on Turkey's shooting down a Russian plane. The major averages tumbled to their 13 day moving averages all if which held with the exception on the Transportation Average which soon rebounded to recover its lost direction and then lead all indexes with a 3.64 % gain, up 291.53 points to 8301.80.

With one day to go the S&P is up 0.52 % for November and has risen 1.52 % for the year. The Nasdaq gained 22.61 points to 5127.52, up 0.44 %, while the Dow was the only index that could not make it back to plus territory falling 25.32 or -0.14 % to 17,798.49.

Guiding to support the indexes, some of the economic numbers, we look at in our best investment search were much better than expected; The GDP numbers reflecting dismal 3rd Qtr growth were improved to + 2.1 % above expectations by Briefing.com of + 2 % and well above the + 1.5 % prior. Durable Goods orders rose a surprising 3 % while Home Sales data rose to 495K up from 447K in September.

The high flying larger cap glamour stocks helped lead the market and especially support Nasdaq. Amazon (AMZN: $ 673.26) + 4.81 or 0.7 %; Alphabet Inc (GOOG: $750.26) + $ 11.85 or + 2.2 %;, Netfix (NFLX: $ 125.44) + $ 1.60 or + 1.3 % and Palo Alto Networks (PANW: $ $ 185.91) + $ 14.94 or + 8.7 % were strong, while lesser but well known reliable stocks like Campbell Soup and Tyson Foods had superb numbers: Campbell Soup (CPB: $ 53.10) + $ 4.28 or + 8.8 % and Tysons (TSN: $ 50.55) gained an impressive $ 6.90 or + 15.9 % for the week.

In our best investment analysis it is interesting to note that since World War 2 the S&P 500 stocks have risen in December 78 % of the time versus 59 % for the other months. The index has averaged a 1.8 % gain for December. We can see the average gain far outweighs the average loss.

There are also several significant appearances by Fed leaders, with an impending FOMC meeting December 15th-16th. The economic information suggests that all of the data reports will be tested against the potential for the start of Fed rate hikes. The combination of news, speeches, and speculation may provide both trading and investing opportunities. Volatility is likely to increase.

The third-quarter earnings reporting period came to an end on November 17th with Wal-Mart's (NYSE: WMT) report. The earnings beat rate was just below average, but the top-line revenue beat rate was even weaker, coming in below the 50 % mark at 47 %. This was the weakest revenue beat rate seen since the bull market began in 2009.
The Regional Banking ETF the (KRE $ 45.69) have produced nice gains for investrors. We mentioned a list in last wee's tabloid. The shareholders of Hennessy Small Cap Financial fund (HSFNX: $ 25.10) as pointed out in an article on Barrons, has logged a gain of 17.3 %, more than triple the 4.7 % of the Power Shares S&P Small Cap Financials (PSCF: $ 43.60) exchange traded fund and far outpacing the S&P 500 index. The Hennessy fund's managers are David Ellison and Ryan Kelley.
The KRE is now up 6.6 % in November. It rose 4.1 % in October. Over the past five years it is up a meager 16 %.

With one day to go the S&P is up 0.52 % for November and has risen 1.52 % for the year. The Nasdaq gained 22.61 points to 5127.52, up 0.44 %, while the Dow was the only index that could not make it back to plus territory falling 25.32 or -0.14 % to 17,798.49.

In our best investment research it is interesting to note that since World War 2 the S&P 500 stocks have risen in December 78 % of the time versus 59 % for the other months. The earnings beat rate was just below average, but the top-line revenue beat rate was even weaker, coming in below the 50 % mark at 47 %. The shareholders of Hennessy Small Cap Financial fund (HSFNX: $ 25.10) as pointed out in an article on Barrons, has logged a gain of 17.3 %, more than triple the 4.7 % of the Power Shares S&P Small Cap Financials (PSCF: $ 43.60) exchange traded fund and far outpacing the S&P 500 index.

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